Caban research desk

Original research on African capital

Our analyst team publishes the research that informs every mandate we take — white papers on where African capital is going, and working papers testing what a decade of portfolio data actually shows. Independent, evidence-led, and free to read.

Published white papers

Peer-shared research from the Caban desk, available in full.

The 2026 white paper programme

Four papers currently in research and drafting at the desk. Request early access and you'll receive each paper on release, ahead of general publication.

In production · Q3 2026

The $331 Billion Gap: Financing Africa's Missing Middle

The IFC sizes Sub-Saharan Africa's SME financing shortfall at $331 billion — the largest under-served credit and equity pool in any region. This paper maps where the gap is deepest by market and sector, why banks and classic VC both structurally miss it, and the instruments — mezzanine, revenue-share, services-for-equity — actually closing it.

Lead: Caban research desk
In production · Q3 2026

Exit Pathways for African Growth Companies: Trade Sales, Secondaries, and the JSE Route

The most common LP objection to African private markets is exit risk. Drawing on a decade of realised African exits, this paper compares trade sale, secondary, and public-listing pathways — including a practical assessment of JSE listing readiness for mid-cap growth companies.

Lead: Caban research desk
In production · Q4 2026

Blended Capital for African Healthcare: Structures That Scale

Healthcare demand across Africa is compounding faster than public provision can follow. This paper examines blended structures — DFI first-loss, impact tranches, commercial equity — that have successfully scaled healthcare delivery businesses, and the terms at which each layer of capital participates.

Lead: Caban research desk
In production · Q4 2026

From Grant to Equity: Community Ownership Models That Outlast Donors

Donor-funded community programmes routinely collapse when funding cycles end. Building on ten years of the QEI Holdings model, this paper sets out how community shareholding structures replace grant dependence with dividend income — and what the returns data shows.

Lead: Caban research desk

Working papers

Analytical work in progress — circulated to practitioners and researchers for comment before formal publication.

CCA-WP
2026-01

DFI Co-Investment Behaviour in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2020–2026

An empirical review of how development finance institutions have co-invested alongside private capital across the region: ticket sizes, instruments, sector concentration, and what their disclosure data reveals about where DFI appetite is moving next.

Request draft
CCA-WP
2026-02

Services-for-Equity: Evidence from a Decade of Portfolio Data

The first systematic review of Caban's own model: survival rates, time-to-investability, and outcomes for businesses that entered through services-for-equity versus conventional funding routes — published with the failures included.

Request draft
CCA-WP
2026-03

Pre-IPO Governance Readiness Among South African Mid-Caps

A structured assessment of governance and reporting readiness across South African mid-cap growth companies against JSE listing requirements — and the gap analysis boards should run two years before any listing decision.

Request draft

Get the research first

Early access to every white paper and working paper on release — before general publication.